Despite a setback, there remains a glimmer of hope for New Zealand to advance to the Super 8 stage of the T20 World Cup, though it will require significant assistance. Following their defeat to the West Indies, the Kiwis find themselves at the bottom of Group C with zero points and a dismal net run rate of -2.425.
The loss against the West Indies has guaranteed the co-hosts' place in the Super 8s, leaving New Zealand teetering on the brink of elimination. However, they have two crucial matches remaining against Uganda and Papua New Guinea.
Mathematically, New Zealand is not yet out of contention. They require a series of favourable outcomes to stay in the running. Firstly, they must rely on Afghanistan, currently occupying the second spot in Group C, to falter in their remaining matches. This includes a crucial match against Papua New Guinea, where an Afghan loss could open the door for New Zealand.
However, if Afghanistan wins, New Zealand's hopes dwindle. Even a rainout would spell elimination for them. Afghanistan also faces a formidable challenge against the West Indies.
In addition to banking on Afghanistan's misfortunes, New Zealand must win their remaining matches against Uganda and PNG convincingly. The margin of victory will hinge on Afghanistan's performance in their games.
It's a precarious situation, but New Zealand isn't entirely out of the race yet. With some luck and determined performances, they could defy the odds and secure a spot in the Super 8 stage.